Air Force vs Boise State 10/16/2021

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Air Force winning 47% of simulations, and Boise State 53% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Air Force commits fewer turnovers in 31% of simulations and they go on to win 56% when they take care of the ball. Boise State wins 65% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. DeAndre Hughes is averaging 174 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (41% chance) then he helps his team win 58%. George Holani is averaging 56 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (27% chance) then he helps his team win 67%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is BST -5 --- Over/Under line is 50.5
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